We hear the complaint that political polls are not accurate and so why use them? In the recent Louisiana governor’s race with David Vitter against Jon Bel Edwards, there were some polls that were very accurate and others who missed the mark significantly.
(Below is an incomplete list compiled by Huffington Post Pollster.com. The list did not include a tracking poll by Verne Kennedy of MRI, which the day prior to the elections, determined Edwards 55 to Vitter’s 45, one point off of the 56-44 spread.
Victory bells for John Bel
Some months ago, I received a phone call from a guy by the name of John Bel Edwards, who said he was running for governor and wanted to meet.
His name was not unfamiliar to me. My friend state Rep. Thomas Carmody had often mentioned John Bel to me because they were seatmates in the House. They – Carmody a Republican and Edwards a Democrat – had established a rapport and had become good friends.
So I agreed to meet with Edwards for breakfast at Strawn’s on Kings Highway. Linda Talbert joined me for the meeting. Edwards brought Linda Day, his campaign manager.
It was an overwhelming victory for John Bel Edwards in the Governor’s race, marking the first time since 2008 a Democrat won a statewide office in Louisiana. Edwards crushed Republican U.S. Senator David Vitter 56-44%, a stinging defeat for the political veteran from Metairie, who had previously never lost an election.
Greg Rigamer is one of those number crunchers that you would love to discuss politics post election.
Not only can he drill deep into the particulars of the election shortly after it is history, his analysis provides great detail.
With the Louisiana governor's race and other statewide races now behind us, what lessons can we learn and how will the election affect the future U.S. Senate race especially since David Vitter has decided not to run again for that spot?