Compare map from 8 am Thursday morning

000

WTNT32 KNHC 282337

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008

800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

...CENTER OF GUSTAV NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA...

AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS

ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF

ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA

HABANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF

MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A

TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF

GRANMA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY

MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST OR ABOUT

15 MILES... 25 KM...WEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 300 MILES...

485 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A TURN

TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT

COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL CROSS

JAMAICA TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY

OR FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHILE GUSTAV CROSSES

JAMAICA...BUT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND

SATURDAY...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM

FROM THE CENTER.  KINGSTON RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF

49 MPH...80 KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS

ON JAMAICA IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO

12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED

MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS WILL

LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN

CUBA.  RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT...WITH AN

ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS

CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING

AREA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...77.0 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

Duff house vicksb

Ms