Hurricane Felix Possible Category 4

Hurricane Felix, which is now a Category 3 storm is a major hurricane which caused damage to Aruba but
 which appears to be headed towards Central America and if the storm goes in the projected directions of
 most forecasts could do significant damage to Mexico and perhaps Belize, or Honduras, Guatemala or
 Mexico areas.  According to the National Hurricane Center, Felix could become a Category 4 in “the 
next day or so”.  Felix is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 MPH and the center of Hurricane Felix
 was near latitude 13.4 North and Longitude 71.2 West or 489 miles Southeast of Kingston Jamaica.

Here is the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

WTNT31 KNHC 021747

TCPAT1

BULLETIN

HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007

200 PM AST SUN SEP 02 2007

...FELIX STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND

CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM

CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36

HOURS.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS

DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE ISLANDS OF

ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD

CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED

BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.4

NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES...790 KM...SOUTHEAST

OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...

AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...

AND FELIX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT

DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115

MILES...185 KM.

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL

PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH

POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE NETHERLANDS

ANTILLES...THE PARAGUANA PENINSULA OF NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA AND

THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...13.4 N...71.2 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125

MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

500 PM AST.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

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