Based upon the most recent Advisory from the National Hurricane Center, tropical storm Fay is moving west but might not find its way to Louisiana in full force.  The more it stays over land, even with the westward movement, the more friction and the greater the dissipation.  The strength of the storm has weakened as winds as dropped below 50 MPH.  However, this storm has taken strange routes already and one just never knows.  Here is the 8 am advisory:

000

WTNT31 KNHC 221140

TCPAT1

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008

800 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA

PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF

FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A

TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS

WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET

FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN

GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR JUST WEST OF

GAINESVILLE FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80

KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS

GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON

THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE

CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR

OVER THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...70

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM

INTO SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM

MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE

JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE CONTINUED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55

MPH...70 TO 90 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE

ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE

CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL

TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA

GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL

ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA

PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND

SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES

POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE

POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS

ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN

FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.4 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

1100 AM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA