Tropical Storm Noel is producing heavy rains over Hispaniola with a hurricane watch in effect for portions of southeastern cuba in the provinces of Granma, Santiago, de cuba, Guantanamo and Holgun.  According to the National Hurricane Center, a hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within 36 hours.  The center of Tropical Storm Noel was located near latitude 16.7 north, longitude 71.8 west or about 135 miles South-Southeast of Port Au Prince Haiti.    

Maximum sustained winds as of 8PM are near 60 MPH. 

Here is the advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

TROPICAL STORM NOEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007

800 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2007

...NOEL MEANDERING...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF

THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO

DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY

WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135

MILES...215 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT

310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

NOEL HAS BEEN MEANDERING...WITH LITTLE OVERALL MOTION...OVER THE

PAST FEW HOURS.  A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7

KM/HR...IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE

CENTER OF NOEL WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI BY EARLY

MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT

24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185

KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12

INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...WITH

POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL

ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH

FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...16.7 N...71.8 W.

MOVEMENT...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60

MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS



 

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