LIVE: The constitutional issues of Special Counsel investigation of Russia, Trump and campaign

Friday, 12 August 2016 10:19
Might Clinton's, dems' use of analytics trump the GOP, yielding barren win season
Written by 
Rate this item
(1 Vote)

data drought 3No doubt, the Republican Party has dominated Congressional elections since 2010 and it appears it just might not do so again in 2016.  

While their hold on the House still appears to tip the balance, many republicans are  not so confident about a Senate majority.  Also, as has been widely reported, the White House control grows dimmer daily, although there are still three months left before election high-noon. 

Worse, there might be a drought of a type that could lead to once-unanticipated Democratic Party victories, for both this election and upcoming election cycles, if the stream of usable data doesn't start to flow throughout the party fields, making GOP winning opportunities more fertile.

Not that the rivers and the lakes are barren.  No. There is data water everywhere, but not too many drops to drink.

Figuratively speaking, the problem for the national party, at least, according to one of the major advocates of the springwell industry of data projections, the pumps just aren't working as fast or has frequent compared to those belonging to the Democratic Party campaigns--flush, with predictive data scientists.

In part 2 of my Bayoubuzz interview with Chris Wilson (video below), the CEO of the national firm Wilson Perkins and Allen, explained that the data projection advantages spawned from the Barack Obama win in 2008 is worsening for the Republican Party in large part due to the candidacy of Donald Trump, compared to if Ted Cruz would have instead prevailed.

In part 1 of the interview, (second video in the below video playlist) Wilson explained the importance of predictive data and how the two parties have used it to win recent elections.  The WPA CEO described the Cruz campaign's devotion to it, how Wilson ran the operations, its impact to that campaign.  Perhaps worse for the GOP nominee and the party, Wilson also described how the Trump campaign is utterly dwarfed by the Clinton operation in its use.

Indeed, Trump is an unusual candidate and has broken the dams of conventional wisdoms probably more often than any presidential candidate in American history.  However, the question Wilson raised is simple--by the GOP campaigns not devoting resources to the development of this dataflow of predictive preferences of voters, the presidential and party candidate opportunites wins just might go dry.   

Wilson compared the party use of predictive data at the presidential and the down ticket levels. The Democrats have more consultants, more candidates utilizing this data science.  This scenario has existed ever since Barack Obama’s substantial victory over Republican John McCain.  

While Clinton campaign has roughly ten scientists in house, the Trump campaign use is somewhere single-digits.  Wilson compared the benefits of this new analytics compared to polls, and why its hiring these firms is as important as hiring other campaign staffers and operations. 

Last modified on Friday, 12 August 2016 17:21
Login to post comments
  • Cat Fights on the Hot Cement Confederate New Orleans statues
  • Ex-Saints, Bears, Bills, NFL Exec, Jim W. Miller discusses NFL Draft tomorrow
  • Trump's new plan; Curtains on tax returns release; 40% say Trump-Russia; Probing Obama admin
  • Watch Louisiana Governor Edwards talk about CAT Tax failure

catRarely, have I seen few issues that have generated as much raw heat, tension, and passion than the Confederate monuments controversy. 

Just as existed during the real civil war, where brothers battled brothers, social media is the battleground, particularly Facebook, pitting friend against friend.

On one side of the tense divide, there are those who are protecting the New Orleans civil war era monuments.  Burnt in effigy, forever, is the symbol of Mayor Mitch Landrieu for up-ending what the monument protectors consider to be the loving civil society of New Orleans.

Lately, events have turned somewhat militaristic.

Some protectors of the Confederate monuments have been staying vigilant, in person and online, even surveilling during the wee hours of the morning, waiting for the next Mayor Landrieu attack. On Sunday morning, with protections of snipers, masked workers and a dumbstruck audience, the worst of all of the monuments was cut and carried., the Liberty Monument. 

Read More

miller nfl live2 5It’s D-Day or Draft Day tomorrow in the NFL.

More specifically, Thursday represents the first day of the NFL draft 2017.

Read More

 

trump curtainsThe major President Trump news of the day focuses upon taxes, not only the tax cuts he is proposing but his own taxes, which he obviously, refuses to unveil.

 

Read More

edwards play money 1

At a press conference today, Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards said the CAT Tax did not pass the House Ways and Means Committee.  The Governor, in addressing the media said that "the fate of that bill was decided long before we unveiled it".

Read More

BB Menu

latter-blum2

Sen. Appel talks budget, economy

TRUMP TALK

Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1