Mike Stagg LIVE: Louisiana Coastal Plan

Monday, 31 October 2016 13:17
3 Louisiana US Senate polls: 2nd spot up for grabs
Written by 
Rate this item
(1 Vote)

flemingThree new Senate polls
    The polls just keep coming on the race for the Louisiana U.S. Senate seat.  Over the past week, three new polls have surfaced, and all indicate a tight race for the two top spots.


    Republican State Treasurer John Kennedy continues to lead in all three polls with the battle seeming to be for second place and a runoff spot between Democrat Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell and Republican U.S. Rep. Charles Boustany.
    Let’s take a look at each poll according to the dates taken.
SMOR Poll (Oct. 19-21)
    Southern Media and Opinion Research of Baton Rouge conducted its poll between Oct. 19 and Oct. 21 of 500 likely voters by telephone.  It has a margin of error of +/-4.4%.  The results:
    John Kennedy (R) – 22%.
    Foster Campbell (D) – 15.5%.
    Charles Boustany (R) – 14.1%.
    Caroline Fayard (D) – 11.6%.
    John Fleming (R) – 8.8%.
    Joshua Pellerin (D) – 3.5%.
    Rob Maness (R) – 3.4%.
    David Duke (R) – 3%.
    Other Candidates – 3%.
    Undecided – 15.1%.
    Bernie Pinsonat of SMOR tells the Fax-Net that his poll is not robo calls and that it uses operators to ask questions.  At least 30% of those surveyed had cell phones.
    He noted that the poll indicates the runoff should feature Campbell against either Kennedy or Boustany. Campbell, with the endorsement of Gov. John Bel Edwards is beginning to dominate the black vote statewide.
    “If Boustany increases his vote in Acadiana, he’s likely in the runoff.  But Kennedy can also do the same in the East Baton Rouge area and Jefferson and St. Tammany parishes, but as of today, one of these two is most likely,” Pinsonat said.
MRI Poll (Oct. 18-20)
    Verne Kennedy of Market Research Insight of Gulf Breeze, Florida, conducted its poll between Oct. 17 and Oct. 20 with 600 likely voters using land lines and cell phones.  The poll has a margin of error of +/-3%.  The results:
    John Kennedy (R) – 17%.
    Charles Boustany (R) – 16%.
    Foster Campbell (D) – 14%.
    Caroline Fayard (D) – 12%.
    John Fleming (R) – 7%.
    Rob Maness (R) – 2%.
    Others/Undecided – 32%.
    Kennedy concludes that there is a high probability of a runoff between two Republicans – Kennedy and Boustany.  If the runoff is between a Republican and a Democrat, the Republican has the upper hand.
    He notes that in a Republican vs. Democrat runoff Campbell currently has the advantage over Fayard, however the black vote could easily shift giving the advantage to Fayard.
UNO Poll (Oct. 15-21)
  The University of New Orleans Survey Research Center conducted its poll from Oct. 15 through Oct. 21 among 603 likely voters using landlines and cell phones.  The margin of error is +/-4%.  The results:
    John Kennedy (R) – 22%.
    Charles Boustany (R) – 15%.
    Foster Campbell (D) – 15%.
    John Fleming (R) – 11%.
    Caroline Fayard (D) – 12%.
    Rob Maness (R) – 4%.
    David Duke (R) – 2%.
    Other/Undecided – 21%.
    The UNO poll concludes that the race is between Kennedy and someone else, likely Boustany or Campbell.  Overall, 56% say they will vote Republican in the Senate race.
    The poll also reveals that Kennedy outperforms everyone else with likely voters over the age of 45, a critical voting bloc.  One-quarter of these voters say they will vote for Kennedy.
    Campbell also does well with the state’s oldest voters, with 21% saying they will vote for him, compared to only 6% for Fayard.

Lou Gehrig Burnett

Lou Gehrig Burnett is the publisher of Fax-Net, a North-Louisiana newsletter.

Website: www.faxnetupdate.com/
Login to post comments
Powered By JFBConnect
  • Edwards gets Graves challenge on Louisiana flood relief money
  • Gov. Edwards's pugnacious state of union gave wrong Louisiana vision
  • Trump plus 80 days: Jim Brown, Bernie Pinsonat talk US, Louisiana politics
  • Trump should be like Reagan, not like Bush

graves c 3Shades of Katrina?

    Is political partisanship raising its ugly head again in the face of another Louisiana disaster?  Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards thinks so.

    Edwards got some rough treatment from a congressional committee in Washington, D.C. when he testified before it recently about the state’s response to flood problems.

Read More

jbeWith equal parts pugnaciousness and disingenuousness, Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards’ highly-politicized 2017 State of the State speech laid out a truly flawed vision for Louisiana going forward.

Read More

jim bernieIs Russia now our enemy, once again?

Did Donald Trump make the right move or was the latest attack, simply some wag the dog?

Read More

Iron nancy reagan 6n 1986, United States President Ronald Reagan authorized military aircraft to unleash a torrent of bombs in Tripoli, Libya to send a strong message to Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi. The attack was in response to Gaddafi’s involvement in the terrorist bombing of a Berlin disco that resulted in the death of American soldiers. 

Read More

BB Menu

latter-blum2

Sen. Appel talks budget, economy

TRUMP TALK

Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1