After watching the video, click here
Thursday, 01 October 2015 10:31
Pollster Faucheux summary: Vitter’s serious sin, money, strategy and lead
Written by 

party-politicsWould a candidate (Scott Angelle) who served for both Democrat Gov. Kathleen Blanco and Republican Bobby Jindal be hurt by that service?  How bad does a presumed relationship to prostitute hurt a candidate (David Vitter), if at all?  Would voting for taxes in the past hurt the candidate in this election (Dardenne)?  How much of a factor is Vitter's enormous money advantage over the other candidates?  How will the Super PAC affect the election?  What appear's to be Vitter’s campaign strategy?

 

These were some of the highlight issues raised in the recent WWL the Advocate poll released early this week, conducted by Ron Faucheux for Clarus research group.  The pollster asked these questions without identifying any of the candidates by name so it would not affect a candidate’s poll numbers.

On Tuesday, I interviewed Faucheux.  Here is part I of the interview

 Here is a summary of Faucheux's observations on these issues:

Would a candidate (Scott Angelle) who served for both Democrat Gov. Kathleen Blanco and Republican Bobby Jindal be hurt by that service? 

Sixty-nine percent of the voters said that a candidate working for both Gov. Kathleen Blanco and Bobby Jindal would not affect their vote, 20% said they would vote against the candidate, 4% said they would vote for the candidate. Obviously, the question was targeted to see whether or not Scott Angelle would be negatively impacted by his services to the Democratic governor and her successor, Gov. Jindal, a Republican.  

Faucheux said that close to 70% said it would not affect their vote.

How bad does a presumed relationship to prostitute hurt a candidate (David Vitter), if at all?

According to the survey, 46 percent of those surveyed said a candidate's supposed link to a prostitution service would not affect their vote. 44 percent said they would vote against such a candidate.

Faucheux noted that twice the Republicans (compared to Democrats and independents) said it would not cause them to vote against the candidate. But a majority of the voters said it would not affect their vote.

The pollster said that it is a factor, depends upon how that issue is used, but it doesn't mean that given the circumstances of all the issues, that voters would change their minds as to the importance it plays in their votes.  

As he said in a recent WWL interview, “"I don't think it's a fatal problem for him, but I think it's a damaging problem for him”.

Would voting for taxes in the past hurt the candidate in this election (Dardenne)?

Twenty-four percent said they would vote against, 5 percent would vote for and 60 percent said it would not affect their vote.

How much of a factor is Vitter's enormous money advantage over the other candidates?

Between Vitter’s campaign war chest and the Super PAC supporting his candidacy, Vitter appears to have more money than the other candidates combined.  How much of an advantage is that for the Republican Senator?  Faucheux feels it would be very difficult for Dardenne and Angelle to break through the Vitter lock if they don't have enough money, however, it would not be impossible.  Ultimately, the success or failure of beating Vitter would depend upon how they spend their money

How will the Super PAC affect the election?

Legally, there is supposed to be no coordination between a SuperPAC and a candidate’s campaign.  Unquestionably, ads by the candidate promoting his candidacy and bashing another’s will likely greatly benefit a candidate, with money.

However, while SuperPac’s are still a very new political creature, allowing people and corporations and others to contribute unlimited amounts of money to the SuperPAC, according to Faucheux, there conceivably could be unintended consequences (assuming the lack of coordination between the two organizations). 

Faucheux noted that a candidate and his campaign could have a totally different strategy from the SuperPAC and their internal information could suggest a different approach than the one taken by the PAC.

What appears to be Vitter’s campaign strategy?

The pollster believes that Sen. Vitter’s strategy is to be very clear that he is running as the most conservative candidate in the race, “sort of like the real Republican in a race”.  Faucheux believes Vitter hopes to build enough base on the right side of the spectrum to get into the runoff no matter who the candidate might be.  He feels Vitter is engaging in an ideological contest—conservative versus liberal. Democrat and he might be right might be ultimately what could be

Login to post comments
Powered By JFBConnect
  • Deja vu for Louisiana high-speed a Internet Broadband project, once again
  • Republicans Gatti, Crews vie for Louisiana House to replace now-Congressman Mike Johnson
  • Retiring Louisiana State Police Chief Edmonson retirement $ back in news
  • Trump, Ryan going to BAT for tax reform, economic growth

jindal broadbandIt’s déjà vu all over again for a broadband access project in Louisiana that saw the same mistakes repeated, leading to its demise both times.

Read More

lou gehrig burnettby Lou Gehrig Burnett, Publisher of Fax-Net

   Raymond Crews and Robbie Gatti are headed to a runoff in state House District 8 on April 29 to fill  the seat left vacant when Mike Johnson was elected  to Congress.  Both are Republicans.
    Crews came in first with 41% of the vote, followed by Gatti with 37%..  Two other candidates in the race were Duke Lowrie, who finished with 16%, and Patrick Harrington, who had 6%.

Read More

edmonson2by Tom Aswell, Publisher of Louisiana Voice

It must be nice when you can get the rules written just for you.

There must come a time when even the most disinterested, blasé, apolitical person living has to look up from whatever else occupies his interest and say, “Wait a damned minute. This just ain’t right and we’re not gonna do it.”

Read More

trump greatIt has been over three decades since our country’s last major tax reform was passed during the Reagan administration. Since that time, America has increased tax rates on businesses and individuals and become less competitive. 

Read More

latter-blum2

TRUMP TALK

Trump Talk: Ryancare, Russia, Investigations, Travel ban--with Jeff Crouere

Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1