Sunday, 15 November 2015 10:20
Early voting, strong Democratic, Black turnout for Jon Bel Edwards vs. David Vitter
Written by 

couvillon blabIf early voting is any indication as to what might happen on election day, Saturday Nov. 21, now less than one week away, Jon Bel Edwards might have a good head start.

John Convillon of JMC Analytics, who weeks ago determine that Edwards had a twenty-point lead after the primary has concluded the early voting analysis with a post on his blog. (Read his blog post for today)

In short, Convillion has determined that the interest in the election appears to be much higher with consistently higher turnout, 16% higher than in the primary, more Democratic with 68-30% white-black ratio opposed to 71-27% ratio. 

Convillon also reports that roughly 1/5 of the voters have cast its vote with early voting.

Yesterday, Verne Kennedy of MRI issued its updated daily tracking report which found that Edwards was leading Vitter by 15 points if there would be 26% blacks vote but by only 10% with only 20% of black votes.

The JMC early polling indicates a 30%-68%  black-white ratio which would suggest a current advantage for Edwards at roughly 20%, consistent with JMC’s earlier. Poll

Bayoubuzz will host a LIVE online video DISCUSSION with Mr. Convillon of JMC analytics, tomorrow Monday November 16 at 2:00 PM.  You are invited to watch and to ask questions and comment.  It will also be broadcasted on Bayoubuzz.com.

 

 

 

Login to post comments
  • Despite 5th plea, Schiff says House Intelligence Committee pursues Flynn's documents
  • Facebook Live: Discuss harm of Trump budget proposal on Louisiana coastal economy, restoration
  • Governor Edwards welcomes Pence with Medicaid, budget, Louisiana coast wishlist
  • World Premiere tonight in N.O. Bilderberg, the Movie

flynn2Despite General Michael Flynn’s announcement via his counsel that the General and former head of National Security, would take the 5th Amendment in Congressional proceedings, the Intelligence Committee will pursue information, regardless.

Read More

560 usgs land loss map 2The efforts to rebuild the Louisiana coast has suffered a major and immediate setback, assuming that Congress goes along with the most recent budget proposal from President Trump.

Read More

penceToday, Governor John Bel Edwards welcomed Vice President Mike Pence to Louisiana as he Veep is attending a event with top Louisianqa Republican officials. Along with the welcome, however, is a wishlist of requests including an item of recent vinctage involving the current Trump budget which tears a hole into the funding for the Louisiana coastal restoration. 

Read More

bilderbergIt is always an honor when a movie premiere is held in New Orleans and tonight is no exception. At 7:30 p.m. Bilderberg, the Movie will premiere at the historic Prytania Theatre, 5339 Prytania Street.

Read More

latter-blum2

Sen. Appel talks budget, economy

TRUMP TALK

Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1