Friday, 20 November 2015 15:15
Today's polls show Edwards beating Vitter from 4 to 17 points: Convillion, Rigamer and Kennnedy
Written by 

poll friday lastCall it the battle of the polls as the Louisiana Governor's race other other elections come down to the wire, tomorrow.

One poll, which had David Vitter down by 20 points shortly after the runoff began, then a few weeks later, it showed a 16 point difference, now shows a four-point Edwards advantage.  Today, the same pollster John Convillon of JMC Analytics, found Vitter had received a major boost due to an International gift coming Vitter’s way, by means of a terror attack in Paris, resulting in Vitter conducting a campaign against the Democrat on the issue of Syrian Refugees.  Those polls were conducted by John Convillon of JMC Analytics

A tracking poll, one by Verne Kennedy of MRI renderred different results.  After comparing the day to day  findings, Kennedy has not detected the type of dramatic decline that Convillion has found. Going into election day, depending upon the African American turnout, Kennedy opined that Edwards was winning anywhere from a 6 to 17 points.  Kennedy projected that if only 20% of blacks turnout, Edwards would win by 6, if 30 percent turnout, he would win by 17. 

The second tracking and third poll was conducted by Greg Rigamer of GCR consulting. That tracking poll, did notice a strong dip for Edwards on Wednesday night, possibly as a result of the Syrian Paris crises, however, that dip straighten out, Thursday night.

The GCR poll also showed a significant difference in the vote for women vs. men, which  one assume is related to the ongoing prostitution scandal, Vitter has been suffering since 2007.  Also, Rigamer, after considering the anticipated support from the votes received via early voting has projected Edwards to win.

Here is the JMC Analytics poll, the Rigamer poll and the Verne Kennedy poll

The various polls also tracked the other two statewide races, Lt. Governor and Attorney General.

In an online LIVE VIDEO Bayoubuzz Blab, Jim Brown, pollster Convillion and Bayoubuzz publisher Stephen Sabludowsky discussed the three polls in detail.  You can watch that discussion at the top of this page.


Login to post comments
  • A July 4th Fact of Facts: America is Land of Immigrants
  • Poll: Trump strong on jobs, weak on tweets, viewed as reckless, thin-skinned, sexist
  • President Trump, It doesn't feel like Independence Day
  • YIPPIE! The naked truth about free speech, cherished especially on Independence Day

mass2On July 4, 1778, George Washington doubled liquor rations for the soldiers quartered in Princeton, NJ, as a way to celebrate Independence Day. It’s fitting, therefore, that the Fourth of July is America's top-selling beer holiday, according to the Beer Institute. It estimated, in 2013, that sales of beer on the 4th could total $1 billion, doubtlessly higher today. “In moderation,” claims a CA brewery investor, Grover McKean, “beer is tasty and healthy.” Who could disagree?

Read More

joe mikaAs Donald Trump faces the top world leaders this week, including a face-time with Vladimir Putin, and as his healthcare proposals face an uphill climb, his poll numbers for how the nation views him could be better.

According to a morning Consult/Politico poll released Wednesday morning, his tweets, including that against MSNBC's Mika Brzezinski, and his personality are not helping him, at all.

Read More

indy dayII know the calendar says we are approaching the 4th of July, but, it just doesn’t feel like Independence Day.

Perhaps it should.  It’s hot as heck.  The airlines have been packed. The hot dogs are ready for grilling.  The umps are saying, "play ball". The patriotic activities are scheduled. The fireworks are ready-for-blasting. 

Yet, it just doesn’t feel like independence day.

Read More

bill rights2To President Thomas Jefferson, July 4th celebrated more than the signing of the Declaration of Independence. He thought it was a link to the future. The message prominent colonists sent to King George III led to the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, the initial and most prominent feature of which is the First Amendment that guarantees free speech. It’s part of the country’s fundamental essence that each man and woman can say what they feel about government, or anything else, proving President Donald Trump needs some civics lessons.

Read More


Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1