Here is a press release from Dr. Verne Kennedy of Market Research Insight:
Market Research Insight completed the attached survey of 600 Louisiana voters last week with a 4% error factor. Dr. Verne Kennedy, MRI’s president, conducted the survey for a group of Louisiana business people as the first of a series of opinion polls looking at the upcoming statewide elections.
Kennedy has polled for business groups, generally 10 to 20 independent business people, in every major Louisiana election since 1991. Kennedy said: “Although members of the group change every election cycle, it is important for business people to have independent surveys rather than polls released by campaigns to help them know how likely it is that incumbent officials will be re-elected.”
The survey focused mainly on the Governor’s Race to see if Governor Jindal is likely to have viable opposition. Based on the results, Kennedy says: “Even though Bobby Jindal’s popularity continues to fall, it is too early to know if Jindal is likely to face opposition this fall
Two issues at least partly responsible for the decline in the Governor’s popularity are the budget deficit and critics claiming he does not work well with the State Legislature. If Jindal’s popularity continues to fall because of these and other issues, he could see a number of opponents.
John Kennedy, no relation to the pollster, has proposed a sixteen point plan that is attracting some interest. Although only 23% have heard about Kennedy’s plan, 64% of those who are familiar with it say it makes them more likely that they would favor Kennedy for Governor if he became a candidate.
New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu has high name recognition statewide (93%) and a much higher ratio of voters holding a favorable opinion compared to an unfavorable one (5.1 to 1) than Jindal (2.2 to 1). However, it is obvious that voters want Landrieu to continue the good job he is doing in New Orleans, at least for now.
Although not tested in the survey, the Tea Party which did well in 2010 Congressional Elections could become a factor if Jindal were opposed by a popular and well funded Democrat. A Tea Party candidate would pull much more from Jindal’s Republican base than from a Democrat potentially putting the Governor in a Run-Off Election.
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