The Democrats also lead in some of the key U.S. Senate battles. Romney is tied with Obama in New Hampshire, leads in Florida, Indiana, Montana
YOUR DAILY POLLING UPDATE
OBAMA APPROVAL: CLARUS AVERAGE 50%
(no change from yesterday; no change from a week ago)
PRESIDENTIAL NATIONWIDE: CLARUS AVERAGE*
Obama and Romney EVEN
Note: This average is based on four polls, three have the race even and one (NBC/WSJ) has Obama ahead +1. We only included polls today that had interviewing periods that extended to Nov. 2.
PRESIDENT: BY STATE**
New Hampshire: Obama and Romney EVEN
Ohio: Obama over Romney +2
Florida: Romney over Obama +2
Michigan (average of 2 polls): Obama over Romney +2 Pennsylvania (average of 2 polls): Obama over Romney +3
Wisconsin: Obama over Romney +3
Iowa: Obama over Romney +5
Maine: Obama over Romney +7
Washington: Obama over Romney +7
Indiana: Romney over Obama +9
Montana (average of 2 polls): Romney over Obama +10
California: Obama over Romney +15
Massachusetts: Obama over Romney +18
Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (D) over Tommy Thompson (R) +3
Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren (D) over Sen. Scott Brown (R) +4
Montana: Denny Rehberg (R) over Jon Tester (D) +4 Pennsylvania (average of 2 polls): Sen. Bob Casey (D) over Tom Smith
Ohio (average of 3 polls): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) over Josh Mandel
Florida: Sen. Bill Nelson (D) over Connie Mack (R) +6 Michigan (average of 2 polls): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) over Pete Hoekstra (R) +9
Washington: Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) over Michael Baumgartner (R) +18
California: Sen. Diane Feinstein (D) over Elizabeth Emken (R) +19
Maine: Angus King (I) 50%, Charlie Summers (R) 36%, Cynthia Dill (D) 12%
New York-24: Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle (R) and Dan Maffei (D) EVEN New York-27: Chris Collins (R) over Rep. Kathy Hochul (D) +1 Montana At-large: Steve Daines (R) over Kim Gillan (D) +11
Oklahoma-2: Markwayne Mullin (R) over Rob Wallace (D) +12
Washington: Jay Inslee (D) over Rob McKenna (R) +2 New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) over Ovide Lamontagne (R) +5
IDEOLOGY: VOTER PERCEPTIONS OF THE CANDIDATES##
How voters perceive candidate ideology vs. their own:
A lot more liberal than me: Romney 8%, Obama 37% Somewhat more liberal than me Romney 16%, Obama 14% Has same views as me: Romney 27%, Obama 27% Somewhat more conservative than me Romney 16%, Obama 10% A lot more conservative than me: Romney 23%, Obama 6% No opinion: Romney 11%, Obama 8%
Presidential job rating average based on the three most recently reported nationwide polls.
* Average based on four most recently released nationwide polls:
Rasmussen, ABC/Wash., NBC/WSJ. Politico/GWU/Battleground.
** PRESIDENTIAL: NH: WMUR/UNH; OH: Columbus Dispatch; FL: Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Herald/Mason-Dixon; MI: PPP(D), Baydoun/Foster(D);
PA: PPP(D), Tribune-Review/Susquehanna; WI: PPP(D); IA: Des Moines Register; ME: Critical Insights; WA: PPP(D); IN Rasmussen; MT:
Rasmussen, Mason-Dixon; CA: Field; MA: Western NE Univ.
*** SENATE: WI: PPP(D); MA: Western NE Univ.; MT: Mason-Dixon; PA:
PPP(D), Tribune-Review/Susquehanna; OH: Columbus Dispatch, Rasmussen, NBC/WSJ/Marist; FL: TBT/Herald/Mason-Dixon; MI: PPP(D), Bayoudon/Foster (D); WA: PPP(S); CA: Field; OH: Rasmussen; NBC/WSJ/Marist; ME: Critical Insights.
**** U.S. HOUSE: NY: Siena; MT: Mason-Dixon; OK: Sooner Poll.
# GOVERNOR: WA: PPP(D); WMUR/UNH
## Gallup, Oct. 27-28
Clarus Research Group cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2012 © Ronald A. Faucheux
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