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Thursday, 13 October 2011 10:55
Jindal's Re-Election, Louisiana Lt. Gov, Sec of State Races Surprises?
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Louisiana electionsWith only days left in our election, surprises are hard to find:


 

With less than two weeks remaining before the Oct. 22 primary, Gov. Bobby Jindal has roughly $6 million to spend on his re-election bid.

Looks like lots of people are happy to bet on a sure thing. More interesting is the race for the number 2 job. In the only recent public poll, Jay Dardenne was destroying Billy Nungesser 40-27:

 

The poll shows Dardenne, a former state senator and secretary of state who has been the No. 2 elected official for 10 months, leading Nungesser in most demographics: 42 percent to 30 percent among men, 39 to 24 among women, 42 to 28 among white voters and 35 to 25 among African-Americans.

Dardenne's lead looks untouchable:

Faucheux, a former state legislator, said that among voters who have made up their minds,Dardenne polled 59.7 percent to Nungesser's 40.3 percent.

"Dardenne is clearly the favorite here," Faucheux said. "For Nungesser to have a chance to win, it would take a combination of a lot of things."

He would have to peel votes off of Dardenne, and that's not going to be easy to do, and beat Dardenne decisively among independent voters, and that's not going to be easy to do."

Meanwhile, the Secretary of State's race is a lot closer:

In the race for secretary of state, Faucheux said, although Tucker has a 5 percentage point lead over Schedler, that is because of his higher name recognition. Faucheux said with a 55 percent undecided factor in the race, "that makes the final two weeks of this campaign crucial. Either candidate still can win this race.

"Tucker leads Schedler 28 percent to 18 percent in the New Orleans-north shore area, while Schedler leads Tucker 23 percent to 20 percent in Acadiana and the rest of southwest and southeast Louisiana. In the Baton Rouge-central-north Louisiana area, Faucheux's poll has Tucker leading Schedler 27 percent to 19 percent. At least 54 percent of the voters in each area are undecided, Faucheux said.

But the money situations are quite different:

In other statewide races, Plaquemines Parish President Billy Nungesser filed a report showing he spent $1 million in less than a month on his bid to become lieutenant governor.

Nungesser’s biggest expense was advertising. Dardenne spent about $318,000 during the same timeframe.

As of Oct. 2, Nungesser had $819,668.99 and Dardenne had $514,296.55 to spend on the remaining weeks of the campaign.

So Billy's still got a big wad to spend for 10 more days. Jay's not too bad off himself, but his slow and stead campaign style looks like it's working again.

As for Tucker and Schedler, the money situtation was a little lopsided:

Between Sept. 13 and Oct. 2, Tucker outspent Schedler by nearly $94,000.

Tucker paid $117,556 to Teddlie Media Partners. Schedler’s biggest expense was $15,000 to 3 Lions Consulting for advertising and marketing.

Tucker had $608,428.53 on hand as of Oct. 2. Schedler had $352,940.55.

We like this ad by Tucker, if only because it's funny:

by Lamar Parmentel, Chief Curator of The Daily Kingfish;  Read the blog Daily Kingfish

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