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Landrieu holds, Jindal unpopular, Vitter in catbird, Maness's move

Written by  // Tuesday, 15 July 2014 10:54 //

vitter-teaLandrieu leads in latest poll
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu leads Republican U.S. Rep. Bill Cassidy 46-43% in the latest poll on the Louisiana Senate race, which will be on the ballot on November 4.
The poll was conducted for Rasmussen Reports by Pulse Opinion Research between July 8-9 of 750 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

While regarded by most as non-partisan, in some political circles Rasmussen is viewed as leaning conservative and Republican.
The Landrieu campaign has to be pleased with the results of this latest poll. The last time Rasmussen polled the race in January of this year, Cassidy led Landrieu 44-40%.
This survey was taken just after Cassidy revealed that his 17-year-old unmarried daughter is pregnant. Cassidy is pro-life. It is unknown what impact that revelation may have had on the survey.
So, since January, after the GOP and outside forces, such as the Koch brothers, have spent millions on negative ads attacking Landrieu, President Obama, and the Affordable Care Act, she has held her own and increased her numbers while Cassidy’s declined.
As seems to be the trend in recent polls on the Senate race, Republican candidates Rob Maness and state Rep. Paul Hollis were not mentioned by name.
The choice was between Landrieu, Cassidy, some other candidate, which got 5%, and undecided, which was 6%.
That fact has to have the Maness camp upset since he got 8% in a recent Public Policy Polling survey, while Hollis had 5%. And just recently, James Carville, the noted political consultant who guided President Clinton to victory, penned a piece which said that Maness is ready to “stir the pot” in the Senate race.
The reasoning there is that Maness has been very critical of Cassidy’s conservative credentials.
According to the poll, Landrieu is backed by 81% of Louisiana Democrats, while Cassidy draws support from 76% of Republicans. And Landrieu leads Cassidy among so-called independents, who are not affiliated with either party, by a 41-39% margin.
When it comes to the “favorability factor,” Landrieu is viewed favorably by 47% and unfavorably by 49%. Cassidy’s rating is 49% favorable, 31% unfavorable, and 20% didn’t have an opinion.
Others polled included Republican U.S. Sen. David Vitter, whose job approval rating in 52%, while 38% disapprove.
Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal gets a 45% job approval rating and 53% disapproval.
Democratic President Barack Obama gets a 44% job approval rating, while 53% disapprove.
In the “very favorable category,” Landrieu received 27%, Vitter 22%, Cassidy 15%. and Jindal 15%.
In the “very unfavorable category,” Jindal had 37%, Landrieu 33%, Vitter 23%, and Cassidy 13%.
There will be more polls, of course, And most objective political analysts still view the race as a toss-up between Landrieu and Cassidy.

Hollis exits race
Republican state Rep. Paul Hollis has dropped out of the U.S. Senate race. The businessman and rare coin collector, who was basically self-financing his campaign, never could get above 5% in the polls.
His exit leaves two Republican challengers – U.S. Rep. Bill Cassidy and retired Air Force Colonel Rob Maness – to try and unseat Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu.
In a statement, Hollis said: “After prayer and thoughtful consideration, I have decided to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race in Louisiana. I am thankful for the outpouring of support from voters throughout the state and truly appreciate the tireless efforts of our campaign’s staff and volunteers.”
If the polls are correct and Hollis had 5% of the vote, where do his supporters go now? That 5% is an important block of votes in a U.S. Senate race regarded as a dead-heat between Landrieu and Cassidy.
The next poll could reveal that if the pollster includes Maness by name among the candidates.
Still unknown, of course, is who else might qualify on August 20-22. Likely not viable candidates, but candidates who could chip away one or two percentage points of the total vote.

Lou Gehrig Burnett

Lou Gehrig Burnett is the publisher of Fax-Net, a North-Louisiana newsletter.

Website: www.faxnetupdate.com/

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