LIVE WITH QUIN HILLYER: HEALTHCARE FOLDS

Tuesday, 10 February 2015 14:08
Vitter gets more 'Mo with Rand Paul's endorsement in Louisiana Governor race
Written by 

vitter-teaWith today’s big endorsement of U.S. Senator David Vitter (R-LA) by his colleague U.S. Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), the attention of state political insiders will turn to the big race to replace outgoing Governor Bobby Jindal.  Paul’s endorsement will give more momentum to Vitter who has gotten off to a strong start in his race for Governor.

 

Vitter has the advantage of ten years as a U.S. Senator and a massive fundraising operation at his disposal. He has won two statewide elections and is leading in the polls at this early point in the race. Most analysts believe that Vitter is the heavy favorite to win; however, he does have some obstacles to overcome.

He faces formidable opposition from three candidates: Lt. Governor Jay Dardenne and Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle, both Republicans, and State Representative John Bel Edwards, a Democrat legislator from Amite.  None of the candidates have raised as much money as Vitter, but Dardenne has won four statewide elections in recent years.  In fact, no one has won more statewide elections than Dardenne since Hurricane Katrina.

Questions remain about whether retired U.S. Army General Russell Honore will run as an Independent and New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu will run as a Democrat. Honore is the hero of Hurricane Katrina and has been leading the “Green Army” in the battle for the environment in Louisiana. Landrieu, of course is the Democratic Party’s best hope, but he may be reluctant to run after his sister suffered a rather significant defeat in her Senate race last November. Another wild card is State Treasurer John Kennedy, who is quite popular, and is looking at the Governor’s race, as well as the race for Attorney General or running for re-election as State Treasurer.

If no one else enters the race and it is set at four candidates, it is unlikely that Vitter will be able to prevail without a run-off.  As the most conservative candidate in the race, he is well positioned to run first in the primary election, but his eventual victory may very well depend on who he faces in the run-off. If his runoff opponent is John Bel Edwards, Vitter will be the heavy favorite. There are no Democrats in statewide elected office in Louisiana today and that is likely not too change by the fall. However, if he faces either of his fellow Republicans in the run-off, Vitter is looking at a much more difficult road to victory.

In that scenario, the vast majority of Democrats in the state will likely vote for Vitter’s more moderate GOP opponent. In addition, enough Republicans dislike Vitter for either his abrasive personality or his “serious sin” which he committed with presumably the D.C. Madam’s call girl ring that he would be possibly vulnerable.

Vitter’s future may well be determined by who makes the run-off against him. In the 1991 gubernatorial runoff, Edwin Edwards would not have been able to beat any other candidate except David Duke. Thus, he was extremely fortunate to land in a runoff against him. In the 1995 Governor’s race, Mike Foster may have lost to any other runoff opponent except controversial African American congressman Cleo Fields, so he was quite fortunate as well.

It remains to be seen how fortunate Vitter will be in this race; however, to be sitting in his position today after the troubles he has faced in his career, Vitter should already be considered quite fortunate.  

The Day Congress repeals Obamacare: Interview with Dr. Georges Benjamin

Rev. Jeremiah Wright show at Southern will go on despite right-wing bullying

 

Jeff Crouere

Jeff Crouere is a native of New Orleans, LA and he is the host of a Louisiana based program, “Ringside Politics,” which airs at 7:30 p.m. Fri. and 10:00 p.m. Sun. on WLAE-TV 32, a PBS station, and 7 till 11 a.m.weekdays on WGSO 990 AM in New Orleans and the Northshore. For more information, visit his web site at Ringside Politics.

Visit Jeff Crouere's Google Plus Page

Visit Bayoubuzz's Google Page

Website: www.ringsidepolitics.com
Login to post comments
Powered By JFBConnect
  • Comey's Russia testimony was bad omen for Trump
  • Contenders to succeed N. Louisiana Congressman Mike Johnson, at starting gate
  • JBE spending governance leads to Louisiana's lower credit ratings
  • Will distorting RussiaGate backfire on Trump and Company?

watergateEven the Russians are talking about the impeachment of Donald Trump. The L.A. Times reported on Monday, March 20, 2017, “Sergei Markov, a Moscow-based political analyst and a former lawmaker with the ruling United Russia party, claimed the hearings into Russian meddling in the 2016 election are ‘related to an attempt to impeach Trump.’”

Read More

mike johnson2by Lou Gehrig Burnett, Publisher of Fax-Net
Saturday is election day
    The race for the District 8 seat in the Louisiana House of Representatives highlights election day this Saturday, March 25.
    It is a special election called to fill the seat of Rep. Mike Johnson, who was elected to Congress.  The winner will serve out the remainder of his term.

Read More

It shouldn’t be a surprise that Louisiana has endured adverse credit rating changes since edwards midDemocrat Gov. John Bel Edwards assumed office, completing a downgrade trifecta last week.

Read More

backgunThe post-mortem on the Donald Trump-Comey-House Intelligence Hearing Monday continues.

On the extreme right, from the jowls of someone who knows a thing or two about investigations against a President, Pat Buchannan, there is still “nothing there, there”.

 

Read More

latter-blum2

TRUMP TALK

Trump Talk: Ryancare, Russia, Investigations, Travel ban--with Jeff Crouere

Dead Pelican

Optimized-DeadPelican2 1 1