The recent Louisiana governor’s poll conducted by Verne Kennedy showing Scott Angelle leading David Vitter has been criticized. It also has sent puzzling shockwaves across Louisiana. How can Scott Angelle come from so far behind, so quickly—assuming the poll is accurate, which the Vitter camp is say, it is not.
So what does it mean when two different polls about the same political contest come up with differences beyond the marginal? It means that observers get a peek into the imprecise world of survey data and the impact it can have on larger perceptions.
With three months to go, the gubernatorial campaign of state Rep. John Bel Edwards has increased the vigor of its whistling into the wind as more adverse information comes in about the state of all the candidates’ campaigns.
As usual, election results produce their share of winners and losers, and Louisiana politicians have no special immunity to this. Thus, from the latest quadrennial elections, we find: