Monday, 09 October 2017 16:48

New poll by Sidney Torres's Voice PAC shows Cantrell with 1 point lead over Charbonnet, Bagneris trails Featured

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After two weeks of slamming Desiree Charbonnet for New Orleans Mayor, after she cancelled her appearance at its Voice PAC's forum at Loyola University on September 27th, the organziation, founded by businessman Sidney Torres, who has launched into a full scale attack against her, has just released a poll showing she is trailing New Orleans Councilwoman LaToya Cantrell by two percent.  

Notwithstanding any presumed animosities between Bagneris and Cantrell, who has launched her own counter-attack against Torres, the survey is similar to another conducted last week on behalf of WWLTV and The Advocate newspaper. In that poll released last week, by Ron Faucheux of Clarus Research (and discussed with Faucheux on Bayoubuzz), City Councilwoman LaToya Cantrell edged former Municipal Court Judge Desiree Charbonnet with 27 percent to Charbonnet's 26 percent of the vote.  Former Civil District Court Judge Michael Bagneris was behind at 19 percent.

Here are the comments from the recent Voice PAC poll:

The most recent poll of New Orleans voters, commissioned by VoicePac, shows Councilwoman LaToya Cantrell pulling ahead with Judges Desiree Charbonnet and Michael Bagneris battling for a spot in the runoff. 

Who's the best candidate? Michael Bagneris, Desiree Charbonnet, Troy Henry or Latoya Cantrell? Discuss below

“This will be a contest determined largely by turnout differentials and the late movement of undecided voters.  With only five days until the election, Cantrell has emerged as the front-runner but the largest voting block remains undecided voters,” said Greg Buisson, political consultant and analyst for VoicePac.  The trial heat showed Councilwoman LaToya Cantrell (22%), former Judge Desiree Charbonnet (20%), former Judge Michael Bagneris (15%) and businessman Troy Henry (9%). 24% of the electorate remains undecided with 6% of the voters choosing one of the remaining 14 candidates and 5% refusing to reveal their choice for mayor. 

The poll conducted by Multi-Quest pollster John Grimm, who is not affiliated with any of the mayoral candidates or campaigns, surveyed 500 likely voters between Thursday, October 5 and Sunday, October 8.  Said Grimm, “Cantrell is boosted by her favorite-daughter status in the district she represents (District B) where she enjoys a comfortable lead.  Turnout and undecided voters will play the most significant role in the outcome of this election.”

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The poll showed Charbonnet dropping the most from the last VoicePac-commissioned poll released by Multi-Quest on September 19, just days before the VoicePaclive, televised debate which Charbonnet declined to attend.  In that poll, Charbonnet led the field with 27% of the vote to today’s 20%, while Cantrell rose from 17% to 22%, Bagneris rose from 11% to 15%, and Henry rose from 5% to 9%.  Since the first VoicePac poll, developer Sidney Torres has challenged Charbonnet publicly in a series of television commercials questioning her political past and her reasoning for not appearing on the first televised debate.  Said Torres, “I’m sure her decision to dodge the first televised debate didn’t help win her support. Voters were able to learn more about her opponents, and she missed a great opportunity.” 

 

CANDIDATE

TOTAL

WHITE

BLACK

DISTRICT

 

 

 

 

A

B

C

D

E

BAGNERIS

15%

21%

10%

17%

12%

12%

14%

17%

CANTRELL

22%

24%

19%

26%

36%

14%

12%

14%

CHARBONNET

20%

16%

27%

12%

18%

23%

34%

27%

HENRY

9%

5%

9%

2%

6%

10%

10%

8%

OTHER

6%

9%

4%

9%

6%

9%

5%

3%

UNDECIDED

24%

22%

25%

34%

19%

22%

19%

27%

REFUSED

4%

3%

6%

0%

3%

10%

6%

4%

 

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

 

Error Factor: +/- 5%

Read 525 times Last modified on Tuesday, 10 October 2017 11:44
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