Tuesday, 21 November 2017 10:53

New Orleans Mayor’s race, Louisiana Treasurer’s elections—lessons learned

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Is there any lesson learned for the next upcoming statewide election?

In discussing the recent Louisiana Treasurer’s race and the New Orleans elections, in particular, that was the question I posed during the interview I conducted with Louisiana Weekly political editor and WRNO Radio weekend talk show host Christopher Tidmore and John Couvillon of JMC Analytics and Polling of Louisiana.

 

Tidmore chimed in, and made some very interesting observations for the Democratic and Republican Parties statewide and particularly, as it relates to the powerful political party and its dominance or lack of it, in more local elections in major cities, like New Orleans.

Well, if you're asking me this question, it depends upon what you're getting at and well one of if you're a Democrat right now, it says if you are doing recruitment, if you are trying this strategy of actually having Democrats run in every particular office, which a normal party does, then you want to base your candidates as far away from Orleans Parish as you possibly can.

 You want to use a very 1950s sort of strategy and try to come together, I'll use a 60s example, John McKeithen type of fusion strategy.  You want to hope that you're on the ballot with other things going on, as well, and statewide elections can be affected. 

But if you're the Republicans, I think in the statewide elections, you should learn two lessons-- one don't get too comfortable; But two, just because you're gonna win a statewide race, does not mean that your own registered members are gonna follow the party line in down ticket races.  And this makes a very good transition to the mayor's race--If I can.

Because, for the Republicans, the most important take on this--is that, while the hard and fast push by the Orleans Parish Republican Party Jay Batt, the party infrastructure for Desiree Charbonnet, managed to let her eek out a victory effectively in Lakeview and a few other limited places, English Turn (unintelligible), it did not have much in effect in the Uptown area.  It really, the precincts that were won by Michael Bagnaris, albeit one in the Garden District, went for Latoya Cantrell--places-- where she was known both in District B and the adjoining uptown precincts of District A went for her. 

And it was it was basically if you're going to do the opposite--instead of what the Democrats were trying to do with the statewide, in Orleans Parish, with Neal Reiser, if you're gonna have a officially chosen Democrat and you're gonna go all out for them, you better make sure that that Democrat is going, has a citywide parish-wide, area-wide, municipal-wide appeal.  Because in this particular case, running against a sitting councilman for the area you're trying to claim, most white voters and Orleans live in Lakeview or uptown, and with a few notable exceptions, you better know what you're doing, and the reason I bring that out is the Orleans Parish Republican Party which had been so helped by the LA GOP in this race for Desiree Charbonnet, got a massive black eye in this election--that they couldn't even get Republicans overwhelmingly to support across the wide geography of the parish, to support Desiree Charbonnet, even though she won the white vote, she didn't win all the white precincts, and that says something.  This was not a Michael Michael Bagneris coalition--even though he lost--it was because--it was very much a Republican loss in the white vote.

Just let me say this--Cantrell would have won regardless if Charbonnet had gotten  every Republican vote in the city, there aren't that many, but it is, it would have been a much tighter race, it would have been--it would not have been this 60.4 to 39 points such, race that it was

 

 

Read 232 times Last modified on Tuesday, 21 November 2017 11:48
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