Face it. Derrick Edwards lost to John Schroder by only ten points, this weekend. Compared to prior elections in which the Democrats were well-funded and were led by well-known statewide candidates, that margin glows.
An African American candidate, with no prior name-face recognition, took on and had a respectable showing against a Republican member of the House of Representatives, who bested two other Republicans for the runoff.
Keep in mind, the Republicans that Schroder beat had strong name-recognition at least within their own areas of comfort. One, former State Senator, Neil Riser, had run statewide before in the US Senate and the other Angelle Davis, had three top posts in state government.
Therefore, does this mean the tide has turned and the Dems are now creeping back into favor?
As Christopher Tidmore, one of the guests in the Facebook Live in which this issue was discussed, had noted, “wishful thinking”.
Indeed, wishful thinking might be a nice way to put it. Election followers know that Louisiana is as red as Alabama and Democrats, well, they just don’t win statewide anymore, with a unique exception—John Bel Edwards upset of Republican US Senator, David Vitter. These weekend numbers were an aberration in part to the lack of interest in the election statewide and a somewhat combative Mayor’s race in New Orleans, the hub of Democratic Party. Low statewide turnout, pretty good voters' numbers in Orleans, spelled a ten-point differential in the Louisiana Treasurer’s race.
JMC says early voting in US and in Louisiana has been record breakers--According to Pollster and political analyst John M. Couvillon of JMC Polling and Analytics, early voting in America and yes, in Louisiana, has been a smash hit.
Despite the very narrow window opened for Democrats as a result of this recent contest, there are still some very interesting developments that both parties must consider, going forward.
As my other Facebook Live guest John Couvillon pointed out, the Democratic Party has shifted from Edwin Edwards and John Breaux and from its political capitols of Avoyelles, Evangeline and Vermillion Parishes to Orleans Parish.
So, post-election, what are the futures for the Louisiana Republican and Democratic Parties?
For that answer, watch the video in which Louisiana Weekly political editor and WRNO Radio weekend talk show host Christopher Tidmore and John Couvillon of JMC Analytics and Polling of Louisiana discuss the paradigm shift and the future of the party, post fall elections 2017.
You will certainly find it enlightening.