Landrieu continues to have a clear lead for the November primary. The results: Landrieu 42%, Cassidy 34%, Republican Rob Maness 12%, Someone Else 2%, and Undecided 10%.
But in a head-to-head matchup, Cassidy leads Landrieu 48-45% with 7% undecided. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 2.9%, making it a dead heat.
PPP concludes that neither candidate is very popular with voters. Landrieu has an approval rating of 42% while Cassidy’s is 37%. The unfavorable approval rating for Landrieu is 52%; for Cassidy, it’s 41%.
While some polls have shown Maness with momentum, PPP says that he continues to be no real threat to Cassidy’s chances of finishing in the top two.
If there is a December runoff, Landrieu’s challenge will be getting her supporters to the polls. Of the 11% who are doubtful if they will vote in December, Landrieu leads 40-27%. Of the 89% who say they will definitely vote in December, Cassidy leads 50-45%.
The problem for Maness seems to be money to get him on statewide television. He was given a 23% approval rating and a 27% unfavorable. But 50% said they are not sure, meaning they don’t know a lot about him.
Who do voters like?
The PPP poll did not find a single elected official who has a 50% approval/favorable rating among the 1,141 likely Louisiana voters surveyed.
Here is the list of officials surveyed and their approval/favorable ratings and disapproval/unfavorable ratings:
*New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu (D) – 46% favorable and 31% unfavorable.
*U.S. Sen. David Vitter (R) – 46% favorable and 35% unfavorable.
*President Barack Obama (D) – 39% favorable and 56% unfavorable.
*Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) – 34% favorable and 55% unfavorable.
*Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (R) – 32% favorable and 20% unfavorable.
* State Rep. and gubernatorial candidate John Bel Edwards (D) – 14% favorable and 22% unfavorable.
The 2015 governor’s race
PPP also looked at the 2015 governor’s race in Louisiana. The results of hypothetical match-ups:
*David Vitter (R) 47%, Mitch Landrieu (D) 38% with 15% undecided.
*David Vitter (R) 50%, John Bel Edwards (D) 32% with 18% undecided.
*David Vitter (R) 37%, Jay Dardenne (R) 30% with 33% undecided.
*Jay Dardenne (R) 43%, Mitch Landrieu (D) 39% with 18% undecided.
*Jay Dardenne (R) 44%, John Bel Edwards 30% with 26% undecided.
The poll did not include Scott Angelle, Public Service Commissioner, who announced last week. He is a Republican and is considered a viable candidate.
He becomes the third announced GOP candidate.
The 2016 presidential race
Here is how poll respondents would vote for president in 2016 in Louisiana:
*Hillary Clinton (D) 46%, Bobby Jindal (R) 45% with 9% undecided.
*Jeb Bush (R) 49%, Hillary Clinton (D) 41% with 10% undecided.
*Hillary Clinton (D) 44%, Chris Christie (R) 42% with 14% undecided.
*Ted Cruz (R) 47%, Hillary Clinton (D) 44% with 10% undecided.
*Mike Huckabee (R) 50%, Hillary Clinton (D) 43% with 7% undecided.
*Rand Paul (R) 47%, Hillary Clinton (D) 43% with 9% undecided.
When PPP asked who would you rather have as governor, Edwin Edwards or Bobby Jindal, the result was shocking. The result:
*Edwin Edwards (D) 47%, Bobby Jindal 43% with 10% undecided.
*To the question, “Do you have a favorable opinion of Edwin Edwards?” The result:
Favorable 40%, unfavorable 44%, 17% unsure.
*To the question, “Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for president in 2016?” The result:
Think he should 20%, think he should not 68% with 13% undecided.
*To the question, “If Bobby Jindal was the Republican candidate for Vice President in 2016, would that make you more or less likely to support the Republican nominee?” The result:
More likely 28%, less likely 42%, wouldn’t make a difference 26% with 4% not sure.
Other interesting results:
*55% support raising the minimum wage to $10 an hour.
*56% think Louisiana should accept federal funding to expand Medicaid coverage.
*21% approved of Mary Landrieu helping someone do a keg stand at a recent LSU football game. 36% disapproved, and 40% didn’t care.
*48% described themselves as conservative, 24% as liberal, and 28% as moderate.