Tuesday, 01 November 2016 14:56

Kennedy, Boustany, Campbell lead and Louisiana U.S. Senate race poll average

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fayard foster campbell 2On Monday, Bayoubuzz published poll results and an article by Lou Gehrig Burnett listed three recent independent polls of the Louisiana US Senate race. Below is further details by Burnett regarding the election and  relevant polls:

Averaging the polls
    These three polls are independent polls, which means that no political campaigns were involved.  The results are not that far apart in all three.

    Let’s average out the three polls among the leading candidates:
    John Kennedy (R) – 20.3%.
    Charles Boustany (R) – 15%.
    Foster Campbell (D) – 15%.
    Caroline Fayard (D) – 11.3%.
    John Fleming (R) – 9%.
    In looking at the average, it appears that Kennedy will definitely be in the runoff.  The race is between Boustany and Campbell for the other runoff spot.
    Interestingly, if Fayard was not in the race, Campbell would have about 26% of the vote and would be leading the pack.
    Should Campbell make the runoff, the polls show that he has an uphill battle to win the seat.
The presidential race
    The three polls also surveyed the president’s race  in Louisiana.   Not surprisingly, Republican Donald Trump is poised the capture the state’s eight electoral voters.
    SMOR found Trump leading Democrat Hillary Clinton 50-25%, a 15-point margin.  UNO had Trump ahead of Clinton 49-35%, a 14-point margin.
    But MRI came up with a different result.  It showed the gap between Trump and Clinton has closed, giving Trump only a 43-36% lead.  In a September poll, MRI had Trump ahead, 52-35%.
Job performance
    The SMOR poll asked respondents to rate five elected officials on job performance.  Here are the results:
    State Treasurer John Kennedy (R) – 65%.
    Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) – 60%.
    Attorney General Jeff Landry (R) – 50%.
    U.S. Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) – 45%.
    President Barack Obama (D) – 43%.
    The UNO poll also asked respondents for a job performance rating on Gov. Edwards.  It came in at 56%.



Last modified on Tuesday, 01 November 2016 15:27

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