Wednesday, 18 May 2011 17:57

Obama Will Lose In 2012 If GOP Has Right Stuff

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Jeff CrouereEver since Osama Bin Laden was killed, Obama loving political pundits and liberal reporters in the media have been proclaiming how much the Navy Seal operation has helped the President in the polls.


One outlet, the Associated Press, published a phony poll skewed to the Democratic side which supposedly showed the President with an approval rating over 60 percent. The poll consisted of mostly Democrats who are obviously more supportive of Obama. Independent polls by Rasmussen, Gallup and others show Obama received at most a six percent jump in approval ratings after Bin Laden was killed. This does not compare favorably with the results for former President George W. Bush who received a 35 percent boost in the polls after the 9/11 attacks and a 15 percent approval rating increase after Saddam Hussein was captured. Even worse for Obama, his approval rating has started to drop once again.


With just a tepid increase, it is ludicrous for the Obama loving media to proclaim the President as the overwhelming favorite in the next election. Yet, common sense and reality does not matter for media liberals who will try to help the President in any way possible. Unfortunately for the Obama supporters, no amount of media spin can change fiscal reality and in our country today, the economy is awful.


The economy and not Osama Bin Laden will determine the next President. In fact, all presidential elections are decided on pocket book issues. Back in 1992, Democratic analyst James Carville declared that “It’s the Economy Stupid.” Carville’s candidate, Bill Clinton, defeated a Republican incumbent who was enjoying a 90 percent approval rating in 1991 after the successful conclusion of the first Gulf War. The election was decided on economic issues, not a successful military operation. What was true in 1992 is true today.


On 40 different economic criteria, the country is in worse shape today than when Obama took office. No President has ever won re-election when the unemployment rate has exceeded 7.5 percent. Today, it is 9.0 percent and millions of Americans are so disgusted that they have stopped looking for work. The answer to President Reagan’s famous question posed in the 1980 debate against Jimmy Carter, “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” can be used effectively by Republicans in the 2012 election. Of course, most Americans are much worse off today than the day the President took office.


Today, the situation is much worse than 1992 and even worse than the crisis of the late 1970’s. In fact, Obama has distinguished himself as the worst President in history, wrenching the title from the hapless Jimmy Carter.


The Republican nominee will be able to point to the economy and show increased deficits, a mounting national debt, socialized medicine, skyrocketing gasoline prices, higher unemployment and renewed inflation and remind Americans that Obama has been a disaster for the economy. The small boost from the Osama Bin Laden operation will be a distant memory by November of 2012.


The Republicans just need to focus on nominating a real conservative who will present a sharp alternative to Obama. Whenever the Republican Party has nominated a moderate, such as Gerald Ford, Bob Dole or John McCain, they have lost badly. A conservative in the mold of Ronald Reagan stands the best chance of beating Obama and saving this nation from total economic disaster.


A real conservative will tap into the Tea Party movement and ensure that a third party candidate does not emerge. The Tea Party organizations all over the country played a major role in the Republican victories of 2010. These folks need to be mobilized once again and given a compelling reason to rally the troops in November of 2012. Only a real conservative will be able to excite the formidable Tea Party grassroots coalition.


Over the past few months, many of my radio listeners have bought the liberal media line that Obama will win re-election. As different candidates have entered and exited the GOP presidential field, I have become increasingly isolated in the belief that Obama will lose next year. In fact, I have put my money where my mouth is and bet these callers’ lunch or dinner that Obama will not win a second term. Even though Trump, Huckabee and Barbour having exited the presidential race, the Republican Party still has a large crop of good candidates. As long as a real conservative receives the GOP nomination, there is no way that Obama can win, which will allow me to donate plenty of free meals to charity.

Jeff Crouere is a native of New Orleans, LA and he is the host of a Louisiana based program, “Ringside Politics,” which airs at 7:30 p.m. Fri. and 10:00 p.m. Sun. on WLAE-TV 32, a PBS station, and 7 till 11 a.m.weekdays on WGSO 990 AM in New Orleans and the Northshore. For more information, visit his web site at E-mail him at [email protected].


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